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Blog cover: rfm customer segmentation

RFM Segmentation: Find Your Best Customers and the Ones About to Leave

Most companies know their top ten customers by name. Very few know which of their good customers quietly stopped buying three months ago. RFM is a simple, proven way to see both, using only the sales data you already have.

What RFM measures

  • Recency: how long it has been since the customer last bought.
  • Frequency: how often they buy.
  • Monetary: how much they spend.

Each customer gets a score from 1 to 5 on each of the three. Together they describe the relationship better than total sales alone. A customer who spent a lot two years ago and nothing since is not a top customer anymore, even if their lifetime total is high.

Score customers relative to each other

The most robust way to score is to rank all customers on each measure and split them into five equal groups. Relative scoring means there is no need to decide in advance what “frequent” or “big” means. The same logic works for a business with 200 customers and for one with 20,000, and it adjusts by itself as the business grows.

From scores to segments people understand

Nobody acts on “a 3-4-5 customer”. Map the scores to a handful of business segments, each with a clear meaning and a clear next step:

RFM grid of recency against frequency and spend, coloured by segment: VIP, High Value, Regular, Low Value, New and At Risk
RFM grid of recency against frequency and spend, coloured by segment: VIP, High Value, Regular, Low Value, New and At Risk
Segment Who they are What to do
VIP Bought recently, buy often, spend the most Protect: personal attention, early access
High Value Strong on most scores Grow: offer more of what they already buy
Regular Average on most scores Keep them engaged with regular contact
Low Value Rare, small purchases Serve efficiently, at low cost
New First purchases in the recent period Turn the first order into a second one
At Risk Used to be strong, but stopped buying Call now, before they are gone

Watch the movement, not just the segment

The most valuable signal is a change. A VIP who becomes At Risk is worth a phone call today. Keep each customer’s previous segment, show who moved down this period, and put a number on it: the sales at risk from customers in the At Risk segment. That is a figure management pays attention to.

Retention and time between purchases

Two more measures complete the picture. The retention rate shows what share of last period’s customers bought again. The typical time between purchases shows each customer’s normal rhythm. When a customer goes well past their usual interval, it is an early warning, often before the RFM score itself drops.

One click to the full story

Segments tell you who to look at. A Customer 360 page tells you what to say: purchase history, lifetime value, favourite products and categories, and how this year compares with last year. The best way to reach it is by drill through from any chart, as described in From Dashboards to Analysis Systems: What Power BI Can Do Today.

From the BistarData shop

Customer segmentation, ready to use

Customer Compass scores every customer with RFM and places them in one business segment:

  • RFM scores for every customer, relative to all other customers
  • Six segments: VIP, High Value, Regular, Low Value, At Risk and New
  • At Risk customer list and sales at risk
  • Retention, repeat purchase rate and time between purchases
  • Customer 360 by drill through from every page

See Customer Compass

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